This was too perfect picture to not post about – the macd cross at 12:30, the stochastics at 12:35, and that was the sell signal. Lead to 4 pt profit!
Archive for the 'Uncategorized' Category
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| Gross: | $ (14.38) |
| Fees: | $ (61.07) |
| Net: | $ (75.44) |
| Contracts: | 26 |
| Ratio: | $ (2.90) |
Not the best way to kick off September, but given how many contracts I traded, I guess I can be grateful I didn’t lose more. Again my problem is that my average loss is much larger than my average win. This is because of my trading style, and needs to be evaluated. I have been scalping a few ticks each time, and when I brought my stop in to two ticks, I got stopped out very frequently (hence the last hour of my trading were all small losses). I need to mechanize this strategy if it will ever work. I am working now on how to download historical data. It appears I have a bug in my implementation, and will likely have to spend some time going over it. I will keep you posted!
I made up to $50 today! Then it was all gone in a single bad quick move trade…
For the fastest way to save some cash every month – turn over every one of your credit cards, dial the customer support number. Answer all their questions – but follow the online menu to talk to someone. Ask them to lower your interest rate – when they offer you a pidley 10.99% (Prime + 3.99%) ask for the "manager" sometimes refered to as a "specialist" and demand politely request a lower rate, stating that this card is your highest rate, and that you would transfer your balance elsewhere. Press them for their lowest long term rate – then here is the trick. Ask for a promotional short term rate – often 2.99% for six months. We just did this on all of our cards, and two of them offered the short term rate, and one offered a very low balance transfer rate of 1.9%, so I am transferring the balance from one card to another to keep the rates low.
So call your card companies and push down your rates – easiest $150/month I have ever made!
| Gross: | $ 275.20 |
| Fees: | $ (1,931.97) |
| Net: | $ (1,656.77) |
| Contracts: | 802 |
| Ratio: | $ (2.07) |
So this month there is at least a green square above! I made money before fees this month, which doesn’t mean anything, except that I have improved over my last month.
| Total Tradable Days: | 23 |
| Total Traded Days: | 18 |
| Positive Days: | 9 |
| Negative Days: | 9 |
| Average Winner: | $ 191.36 |
| Average Loser: | $ (375.45) |
| Biggest Winner: | $ 525.60 |
| Biggest Loser: | $ (850.55) |
As you can see my average loser was almost twice my average winner, hence the losing money problem. I need to develop a system to cut short losing days, as I always let them grow. My win:loss ratio is exactly 50:50 (9 positive days, 9 negative).
This chart illustrates the problem, you can see several strings of positive days, but they are all for small amounts. I need to let my profits run and cut my losses short, a lot easier said than done.
Here we see the problem of fees. The gross sales accumulate very quickly, but I just whipsawed between positive and negative every day. I need to get my winners up, and my losers down.
This month, the number of contracts correlated with my net profits with a ratio of 0.0067, which is incredibly low, in fact it would be difficult for them to be less correlated. This change is especially prevalent from mid august on, as I stopped placing large orders, and kept my bets generally to single contracts.
Next month, I am going to work on a strategy to at least get my winners to be the same size as my losers.
| Gross: | $ (855.00) |
| Fees: | $ (1,080.00) |
| Net: | $ (1,935.00) |
| Contracts: | 450 |
So this post is a month late, but I think it is important to have something to compare myself to before I calculate August’s totals. This was my first month of trading, and as such I did a lot of experimenting. My undoing was that I was trading too many contracts per trade. I was entering with a minimum of two and often three contracts each time. This was my first chance to begin to get a “feel” for the market.
I averaged a daily loss of $85.50 over ten days of trading, trading an average of 45 contracts per day. This will certainly have to turn green before I consider trading real money, but it was a valuable learning experience.
This chart shows my day by day performance, I was profitable for my last two days, which finally began to dig me out of my hole. These charts are net of fees, next I will show the gross to demonstrate the problem of fees.
Here we can see that I was on a healthy clip to breaking even for the month. In fact, had I done the exact opposite of every trade I did, I would be positive! Clearly my overtrading skewed this graph in my net, as you can see days with high contract counts were made that much worst.
Here we can see a light correlation between the number of contracts and the net profit per day, -0.58732 to be precise. This just emphasizes that I need to be more careful with my bet sizing, as it is costing me heavily.
Next Month I will work heavily on controlling my bet sizing – we will see how I did in my next post.